Alex Mercer: Welcome to the Daily Sports Evening Edition for Sunday, January 25, 2026. The conference championships are unfolding, the NBA board is moving fast, and the smart money is already pivoting. We’ve seen some massive shifts in the odds over the last few hours, and if you’re looking to place your late-window bets, you need this data now.

Before we break the tape, we encourage you to jump into Kalshi, Polymarket, or your prediction market app of choice with us; as always, we will be using Polymarket’s data to track where the sharp money is moving. Let’s get into the Daily Sports Evening Edition. Marcus, the morning card was a absolute gauntlet. Let’s do the roll call. How is that Patriots-Broncos position looking?

Marcus Webb: That is a locked-in win, Alex. The Patriots took it 10 to 7 in a total defensive grind in Denver. Our thesis on the AFC Championship dominance held up, but specifically, Rhamondre Stevenson was the engine. He cleared his 48.5 rushing yard prop thanks to a heavy run script and a massive 12-yard burst in the fourth quarter. If you held that position, collect your profit.

Alex Mercer: Massive start. Now, looking at the NFC side—Rams versus Seahawks. We were heavy on Kenneth Walker III this morning. Where do we stand?

Marcus Webb: We are holding firm. The news is out: Sam Darnold has been cleared to start for Seattle despite that oblique issue. With Zach Charbonnet officially out with that ACL tear, the Walker "workhorse" thesis is now elite. On Polymarket, the Walker Anytime TD is trading at 56.5 cents. At the time of recording, this game has just kicked off, so if you can still get this under 60 cents in the live market during the first quarter, it remains a high-conviction play.

Alex Mercer: Moving to the ice—Avalanche and Maple Leafs. This was our offensive firepower play. Did it deliver?

Marcus Webb: Total dominance. Avalanche win it 4 to 1. Colorado’s offensive production is simply on another level right now, and they overwhelmed Toronto just as the metrics suggested. That Moneyline position is a clear win.

Alex Mercer: What about our "Dog of the Day"? The Senators were hosting the Golden Knights and the morning data suggested a major regression for Vegas.

Marcus Webb: As we sit here now, we are in the second period with about four and a half minutes left, and the Senators are up 3 to 0. Ottawa’s puck-possession metrics are completely neutralizing Vegas. We are doubling down on this conviction. If the Knights try to pull the goalie late to claw back, that +1.5 spread we took this morning is our ultimate safety net. Hold that position.

Alex Mercer: And finally, the early college hoops action. FAU versus South Florida.

Marcus Webb: Another win for the portfolio. The Bulls took down the Owls 89 to 75. South Florida covered that -4.5 spread with a massive 14-point margin. Joseph Pinion was the difference-maker, and the defensive pressure we talked about this morning forced exactly the kind of ball-security issues we expected from FAU. 

Alex Mercer: Three wins in the books, two strong holds. But we aren't done. We have a late-breaking play in the NBA. Marcus, what are you seeing in Oklahoma City?

Marcus Webb: This is a pure market-lag opportunity. The Raptors are visiting the Thunder, and Polymarket is currently offering the Thunder spread at -10.5, trading at 52 cents. Meanwhile, the Vegas and offshore books have already steamed this line up to -12.5. We are seeing a two-point discrepancy. 

Even with Jalen Williams and Alex Caruso sidelined, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is playing at an MVP level, coming off a 47-point game. Toronto is missing Jakob Poeltl, which leaves them with zero frontcourt depth to contest the rim. We are taking the Thunder -10.5 while that price lasts.

Alex Mercer: Speed is everything on that one. Let’s recap the final portfolio for the night. We have confirmed wins on the Patriots Moneyline, the Avalanche Moneyline, and South Florida -4.5. We are holding our Kenneth Walker III Anytime TD position for the NFC Championship and the Senators +1.5 against Vegas. Our new addition is the Thunder -10.5 at 52 cents.

Check your clocks—Rams and Seahawks are underway right now at 6:30 PM Eastern, and the Raptors and Thunder tip off shortly at 7:00 PM Eastern. The window is closing. 

Since it is Sunday, make sure to tune in tomorrow morning for our full "Ledger Recap" where we tally the week's gains and losses and reset the board for Monday Night Football. Opinions expressed are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.