# PREDICTION MARKET HQ: DAILY SPORTS ## Evening Edition — Friday, April 3rd, 2026 --- **HOST (Alex Mercer):** We are *live* — well, you're a few minutes behind us, but you know what I mean. It is the Evening Edition, Friday, April 3rd, and the scoreboard tonight is looking *very* friendly. We had three bets cash this afternoon, two NBA games tipping off in hours, and the sharp money is already moving. We've got odds to track, positions to lock in, and a portfolio to protect. Jump into Kalshi or your prediction market app of choice — we'll be using Kalshi's data all night to follow where the smart money flows. I'm Alex Mercer. Marcus Webb is here. Let's get into the Daily Sports Evening Edition. --- **ANALYST (Marcus Webb):** Let's *get* into it. --- Alex Mercer: Alright Marcus — Roll Call time. Five morning picks. Let's go one by one. First up — Indiana versus Charlotte. Game tips at 7:00 PM ET tonight. Where does that position stand? Marcus Webb: Hold. Firm hold. Look, we flagged this morning that the Pacers were already banged up — but the injury report has gotten *worse* throughout the day. Nine players listed. Nine. Tyrese Haliburton is out with the Achilles, T.J. McConnell out with the hamstring — their backcourt is essentially a skeleton crew walking into Charlotte tonight. Alex Mercer: And Charlotte is sitting at — what, 0.92 on Kalshi right now? Marcus Webb: 0.92. The market has already priced the chaos on Indiana's side. And listen — Charlotte leads the NBA in three-pointers made per game at 16.3. With Indiana's defensive anchors sidelined? The Hornets are going to *feast* from the perimeter. The thesis hasn't changed — it's gotten stronger. Alex Mercer: Hold it. Next pick. Boston versus Milwaukee — this one tips at 7:30 PM ET. How's that position looking? Marcus Webb: Alex, I'll be honest — this one's basically a victory lap we haven't officially taken yet. Boston is now priced at 0.94. We flagged the pricing anomaly this morning when Milwaukee's win probability was sitting around 7% and the market hadn't fully reacted. That gap is gone now. Alex Mercer: Giannis still out? Marcus Webb: Giannis out. Bobby Portis out. Milwaukee on a three-game skid. And on the other side — Tatum and Brown just combined for 68 points in their last outing. This is a *hold* because the game hasn't been played yet, but we are in a very comfortable position. The number just got more expensive to enter. Alex Mercer: Right. If you're hearing this and you haven't gotten in — 0.94 is a thin margin. We'll touch on that. Okay — now the baseball results. Three finals came in this afternoon. Los Angeles Dodgers versus Washington. Marcus, walk us through it. Marcus Webb: Win. Final score — Dodgers 13, Nationals 6. And this one delivered *everything* we called. Shohei Ohtani homered. Mookie Betts homered. Freddie Freeman homered. For the first time this season, the Big Three all went deep in the same game. Alex Mercer: The holy grail. First time all season. Marcus Webb: First time. And Emmet Sheehan — with the Dodgers' rotation absolutely decimated by injuries, Snell, Miller, Stone all on the IL — Sheehan gives them 5.2 innings of stability. That is a *season-stabilizing* start. Clean win. We cash that one. Alex Mercer: Beautiful. Alright — St. Louis versus Detroit. How'd that one shake out? Marcus Webb: Win. Tigers win 4-0. Framber Valdez — his home debut in Detroit — goes six shutout innings. Sell-out crowd, and by all accounts he fed off that energy completely. The Cardinals' lineup posted one of their highest chase rates of the season against Detroit's breaking balls. Completely neutralized. Alex Mercer: Four-game losing streak snapped for Detroit. Clean execution of the thesis. And our last baseball result — Miami versus New York. Yankees. Marcus Webb: Yankees 8, Marlins 2. Win. Aaron Judge homered. And then there's Ben Rice — this kid is *something*. He homered again today, pushing his average to .412 on the season. The Bronx is absolutely buzzing about him. Alex Mercer: The most impactful Yankees rookie since Judge himself, they're saying. Marcus Webb: And the rotation — Alex, the Yankees' pitching staff is sitting at a 1.01 ERA through seven games. That is the best start for *any* rotation in franchise history. The "World Series or Bust" conversation is already happening in New York media and honestly? Hard to argue with the numbers. Alex Mercer: Three wins on the afternoon. Clean sweep of the baseball slate. Now — the report tonight has no Late Adds on the roster, so we are not introducing new plays. What we *are* doing is locking in our final portfolio heading into tonight's games and making sure everyone knows exactly where they stand. --- Alex Mercer: Alright — Master List. Rapid fire. Final portfolio for Friday, April 3rd. Marcus, let's go. Marcus Webb: Charlotte over Indiana — Hold, tipping at 7:00 PM ET, currently trading at 0.92. If you got in this morning, you're sitting pretty. If you're hearing this now and haven't entered — it's still defensible given the injury carnage on Indiana's side, but the value has compressed. Get in *before* tip if you're going to move. Alex Mercer: Boston over Milwaukee — Hold, 7:30 PM ET tip, trading at 0.94. This one is essentially priced in. If you're already in, hold through the final buzzer. If you're looking to enter now — — the juice just isn't there at 0.94. You're locking in six cents on the dollar. That's a judgment call. Marcus Webb: Dodgers over Nationals — Win. Final. Cashed. Dodgers 13, Nationals 6. Collect. Alex Mercer: Tigers over Cardinals — Win. Final. Cashed. Detroit 4, St. Louis 0. Collect. Marcus Webb: Yankees over Marlins — Win. Final. Cashed. New York 8, Miami 2. Collect. Alex Mercer: Three wins on the baseball slate. Two NBA holds live tonight — Charlotte at 7:00 PM Eastern, Boston at 7:30. Those are your deadlines. Do not sleep on the start times. --- Alex Mercer: And hey — it is *Friday*. Which means tomorrow we'll be back with the morning edition, but it also means the week is wrapping up. We are keeping the Ledger Recap locked in for Sunday — we'll do a full accounting of the week's record, the Kalshi price movements, and where the sharp money landed across every play. That is Sunday's show. Don't miss it. Marcus Webb: Should be a good one if the weekend holds up like today did. Alex Mercer: Three cashes in an afternoon will do that for your mood. Alright — that is the Evening Edition for Friday, April 3rd. We appreciate you riding with us. As always, we encourage you to jump into Kalshi or your prediction market app of choice — Kalshi's data is where we're tracking the sharp money movement all night. Stay locked in. Stay disciplined. And we'll see you tomorrow morning. Opinions expressed are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.