# PREDICTION MARKET HQ: DAILY SPORTS ## Evening Edition — Friday, April 10, 2026 --- Alex Mercer: Welcome back to Prediction Market HQ — Daily Sports Evening Edition. I'm Alex Mercer. Marcus Webb is here. It is Friday night, the slate is live, and the bets are moving. We've got injury news dropping, seeding races coming to a head, and two sharp late plays we're adding to the card tonight. We encourage you to jump into Kalshi or your prediction market app of choice with us — as always, we'll be using Kalshi's data to track where the sharp money is moving. Let's get into it. --- ### SEGMENT 1: MORNING ROLL CALL Alex Mercer: Alright Marcus, let's do the roll call. Start with Cleveland versus Atlanta — we flagged this one this morning. Where do we stand? Marcus Webb: Still monitoring, Alex. No final score to report yet — Truist Park, 74 degrees, clear skies, light wind. That weather setup is legitimately favorable for hitters. Atlanta's power bats historically thrive in humidity, and conditions tonight are close enough. Cleveland's young rotation is getting a road test in one of the tougher environments in the NL. We're not moving on this until we get confirmed action. Alex Mercer: Right. So — hold, watch, don't touch until we have more information. Got it. Now — Pittsburgh, Chicago, this one's a different story. Marcus Webb: This one's done, Alex. Final score: Pittsburgh 2, Chicago 0. The Pirates take it at Wrigley. Bryan Reynolds — seventh inning, solo shot off Caleb Thielbar — that was the dagger. Cubs loaded the bases twice in the mid-innings and came away with nothing. Alex Mercer: The Wrigley Chill was real tonight. Thirty-nine degrees. Cubs' bats just went completely cold — literally and figuratively. Marcus Webb: Exactly. Pittsburgh's bullpen was dominant. This was a pitching performance you circle. If you were on the Pirates side, that's a clean result. Mark it. --- ### SEGMENT 2: LATE ADDS Alex Mercer: Okay. Let's get into the evening plays. Two games, four positions — this is a loaded Friday night card. Marcus, walk me through it. Marcus Webb: We're starting in New York. Knicks hosting the Raptors. Mitchell Robinson — ankle — ruled out. That's not a surprise, but the confirmation matters. And here's the play: Karl-Anthony Towns, 20-plus points tonight. One full unit. This is our lead play. Alex Mercer: Trading at — what are we looking at on Kalshi right now? Marcus Webb: Market's sitting around 68 cents on Towns hitting 20-plus. And honestly? Given the Robinson news, I think that's still fair value. Toronto is missing Trayce Jackson-Davis AND Collin Murray-Boyles up front. There is no interior answer for KAT tonight. He's already dropped double-digit wins on this Raptors team four times this season. Alex Mercer: And Coach Brown confirmed — no rest for starters. Knicks are chasing the three-seed. They need this win. Marcus Webb: Gas pedal stays down. That's a direct quote from Brown. Towns is the focal point of this offense tonight. One unit. Conviction is there. Alex Mercer: Second play — also in this game. Jalen Brunson, 25-plus points. One unit. Value label on this one. Marcus Webb: See, that's the thing — Brunson is coming off a 25-point, 10-assist performance against Boston yesterday. His season average is 26.0 points per game. The market on this one is sitting around 62 cents, which feels low given the context. Twelve-game winning streak against Toronto. The Knicks can clinch the three-seed tonight. Brunson is going to be aggressive. Alex Mercer: Two units in one game. That's a statement. Marcus Webb: When the setup is this clean? You size accordingly. Alex Mercer: Alright — let's go south. Dallas at San Antonio. De'Aaron Fox, 15-plus points. One unit. Value play. Marcus Webb: This one might be the easiest number on the board tonight. Fox is averaging 18.5 points per game on the season — that's his floor. He just dropped 25 on Wednesday. And now — Wembanyama is officially a game-time decision with a rib injury. If Wemby sits, Fox's usage rate is projected to be the highest on the entire slate. He's averaging nearly 30 points per game in solo-star scenarios this month. Alex Mercer: Hold on — and Dallas is fielding, what, eight injured players? Lively out for the season, Gafford doubtful— Marcus Webb: Full tank mode. Dallas has no rim protection. Fox is going to get to the paint all night. The market on this is around 72 cents — and I still think it's underpriced given the Wemby uncertainty. Alex Mercer: One unit. Strong value. Let's lock it in. --- ### SEGMENT 3: RADAR WATCH Alex Mercer: No radar games to elevate tonight — our radar was clean this morning and nothing new has emerged. We move on. --- ### SEGMENT 4: THE FULL CARD Alex Mercer: Alright — rapid fire. Here is the full card as we sit right now on Friday, April 10th. Marcus Webb: Pittsburgh over Chicago — **final, win.** That one's already in the books. Cleveland versus Atlanta — **still monitoring**, no position confirmed, we'll update on the morning show. Alex Mercer: And the live plays tonight — Knicks hosting the Raptors, that tip is **tonight, 7:30 Eastern.** Two positions in this one: Karl-Anthony Towns 20-plus, one unit, trading around 68 cents. Jalen Brunson 25-plus, one unit, around 62 cents. If you can still get Brunson under 65 cents when you're hearing this, that is the window. Marcus Webb: Big time. Alex Mercer: Dallas at San Antonio — **tip is 8:30 Eastern.** De'Aaron Fox 15-plus, one unit, around 72 cents. Watch for the Wembanyama game-time call — if Wemby is out, that number could move fast. If you're hearing this and Fox is already confirmed as the solo star, get in before the market adjusts. Marcus Webb: Total units on the board tonight — three active units across two games. Clean card. High-conviction plays. --- ### SEGMENT 5: OUTRO Alex Mercer: That is the Friday night card, people. It is a good one. Tomorrow morning we'll have the full overnight recap — Cleveland-Atlanta result, how the Knicks and Spurs games closed out. And — — since we're heading into the weekend, Sunday night we will be back with the **Ledger Recap** — full week P&L, unit tracking, everything. Don't miss that one. Marcus Webb: It's been a good week. Sunday's going to be a good conversation. Alex Mercer: I think so too. Alright — that's the Evening Edition for Friday, April 10th. Thanks for riding with us. Stay sharp, stay disciplined. *Opinions expressed are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.*